Never-Ending Divergences: January 9 Stock Market Preview
January 9 Stock Market Preview: IWM made a new all-time high today, while QQQ and SPX had divergent negative performance, with QQQ being the worst of the bunch. Will the laggards catch up with IWM’s performance, or are we about to see indices roll over?
SPX 7000 Within Sight: January 7 Stock Market Preview
January 7 Stock Market Preview: IWM led the way higher, showing relative strength recently. SPX now appears poised to approach the 7000 GEX strike, and the VIX has room to drop. What are some risks to this scenario?
Initial Headwinds For SPX: January 5 Stock Market Preview
January 5 Stock Market Preview: This is our first newsletter of 2026, so thanks for joining us! We enter the new year with interesting historical seasonality as well as an interesting current picture for the indices, both technically as well as in terms of GEX. What sort of fun do we have in store?
Which Divergence Will Win? December 31 Stock Market Preview
December 31 Stock Market Preview: As we close out the last trading day of 2025 on Wedneday, let’s look at some interesting changes in the GEX picture as well as current technical areas gained or lost today across the major indices (SPX, IWM, QQQ, the VIX). What’s next?
Santa Rally On The Ropes? December 30 Stock Market Preview
December 30 Stock Market Preview: Monday saw the VIX gap above the daily Hull Moving Average, with indices (SPX, QQQ, IWM) showing weakness. As the day progressed, the VIX declined, though indices didn’t make noteworthy recovery, a concerning sign from a contrarian standpoint. Let’s take a closer look under the surface.
SPX’s Long-Awaited 7000 Target Is Near: December 29 Stock Market Preview
December 29 Stock Market Preview: We approach the final 2.5 days of trading for 2025, with SPX seemingly back on track for a close approach to 7000 and the VIX at lows for the year, in the 13s. Are we looking at a series of potential contrarian circumstances, or is this a sign that a larger uptrend is imminent?
Extreme GEX Heading Into The Santa Rally? December 24 Stock Market Preview
December 24 Stock Market Preview: SPX achieved a massive positive GEX reading heading into the half day of trading tomorrow, though falling short of overcoming the previous high of 6920. Such extreme GEX readings are often associated with reversals, so what are we looking at as we enter the start of the “Santa Rally” tomorrow through the first two trading days of January?
Conflicting Signals For The VIX: December 23 Stock Market Preview
December 23 Stock Market Preview: The crush in volatility seemingly won’t end, with the VIX now at the 14-handle and VVIX in the low 80s. Paradoxically, we see the VIX showing net positive GEX, an unusual condition given the intense move lower. We also see SPX net GEX at the 6900 and 7000 strikes standing strong for 12/31. How do we reconcile these conflicting signals?
OpEx Is Over: “Party Time” With The VIX In The 14s December 22nd?
December 22 Stock Market Preview: With OpEx behind us, the VIX begins a shortened week of holiday trading in the U.S. for the Christmas holiday below 15 again, a level last seen on December 12. SPX was over 60 points higher then, so what do we make of the divergence? I’m going to force you to read the rest of the newsletter, of course.
SPX 7000 GEX Getting Shifty: December 19 Stock Market Preview
December 19 Stock Market Preview: SPX GEX at the 7000 strike, which we can now call “Ol’ Shifty,” was back and is now gone again…Is this a product of OpEx week, or are we done with the 7000 strike by 12/31? We have no vested interest, we simply want to position for the targets with the greatest odds, so we will adjust as GEX adjusts as well.
Approaching The Final OpEx Friday Of 2025: December 18 Stock Market Preview
December 18 Stock Market Preview: Indices dropped further today, bringing the VIX to initial weekly resistance while IWM closed just below important weekly support. GEX at SPX 7000 has diminished relative to the 6800 strike. What appears to be likely as we approach the end of OpEx week and the final trading days of 2025?
SPX Into OpEx: Tricks Up The Sleeve? December 17 Stock Market Preview
December 17 Stock Market Preview: Things are getting interesting with the SPX GEX picture heading into OpEx Friday, with a hgue negative GEX cluster at the 7000 strike. With VIX expiration tomorrow, could we see a surprising move heading into Friday?
GEX Divergences And VIX Expiration: December 16 Stock Market Preview
December 16 Stock Market Preview: With VIX expiration Wednesday and OpEx Friday, we may see an interesting week with moves in both directions. Let’s look at some divergences that occurred today as well as looking at the largest clusters expiring Wednesday premarket for the VIX.
SPX Still Holding Weekly Support: December 14 Stock Market Preview
December 14 Stock Market Preview: Markets displayed weakness Friday, though a closer look reveals a mid-morning low, followed by a recovery attempt, and the VIX was contained. The VIX remains below 16, yet the VIX also maintains above the Hull Moving Average, raising the risk that Friday’s weakness may show a resurgence in the short run (or if the VIX approaches 14.7 again). What does GEX say?
Watching IWM For A Sign: December 12 Stock Market Preview
December 12 Stock Market Preview: SPX is less than 2% away from the huge positive GEX cluster at 7000, and the VIX is at key support, below the largest negative GEX cluster. Is a short-term turn lower imminent?
Inching Toward SPX 7000: December 11 Stock Market Preview
December 11 Stock Market Preview: 2025 gave us yet another fairly uneventful FOMC day, with the VIX getting crushed back toward the Hull Moving Average, exactly what we suggested as a possibility yesterday. With indices pushing higher and the VIX lower, what appears most likely entering the back half of the week?
Navigating FOMC Trading With GEX: December 10 Stock Market Preview
December 10 Stock Market Preview: As we approach the FOMC announcement Wednesday, the VIX appears to give market bulls some hope, though other indices are less certain. What does GEX tell us about the most likely possibilities going forward?
“Bear Tease” Into FOMC: December 9 Stock Market Preview
December 9 Stock Market Preview: Today’s market weakness technically broke the daily Hull Moving Average by the close, but not in a definitive manner. Indices still hold key weekly levels of support as well. With the VIX up 8%, are we setting up for a big drop, or simply providing more fuel for a VIX crush post-FOMC announcement?
SPX 7000 Still In The Crosshairs: December 8 Stock Market Preview
December 8 Stock Market Preview: We’re rapidly approaching the make-or-break timeframe for our year-end 7000 GEX target, a level we’ve been watching for months. GEX positioning continues to indicate a strong likelihood for an approach close to or just above that level. What else can we glean from the VIX and other indices that may help or hurt that potential scenario?
A Bullish Friday Ahead? December 5 Stock Market Preview
December 5 Stock Market Preview: The VIX continues to appear weak as indices consolidate sideways, though IWM has taken the lead to the upside, tagging 250 and closing above it. Odds favor a continued move higher, but declining GEX for QQQ and the VIX approaching 15 may give cause for concern as to the longevity of any upside move from here.