Temp Cease Fire: Fakeout Or Breakout? April 8 Stock Market Preview
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Temp Cease Fire: Fakeout Or Breakout? April 8 Stock Market Preview

April 8 Stock Market Preview: We saw the anticipated pullback today, which stopped just shy of the initial targets mentioned in yesterday’s newsletter before the announcement of an Iran ceasefire sent markets soaring after hours. With a big gap up anticipated Wednesday, what levels are we watching?

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Threatening The Downtrend Line: April 7 Stock Market Preview
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Threatening The Downtrend Line: April 7 Stock Market Preview

April 7 Stock Market Preview: Indices didn’t change much today, but they’re holding onto gains from late last week. The VIX is testing the weekly 9-SMA after failing to hold the weekly HMA last week for the first time since January 4, so perhaps the market is turning up. Smooth sailing from here? Not so fast..Let’s look more closely.

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VIX Drop: Bullish For SPX? April 6 Stock Market Preview
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VIX Drop: Bullish For SPX? April 6 Stock Market Preview

April 6 Stock Market Preview: Indices were able to hold most of the gains from the late-week rally last week, painting a picture of several more bullish possible outcomes relative to the last several weeks. The VIX closed below the weekly HMA for the first time since January 4, also a potentially bullish signal. What risks remain to the idea of a continued bounce?

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SPX Inflection Point Near: April 2 Stock Market Preview
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SPX Inflection Point Near: April 2 Stock Market Preview

April 2 Stock Market Preview: Indices are reaching an important inflection point, as is the VIX. The next move has potential to define the likelihood of new lows versus continuation much higher. What factors may influence the next move?

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Bottom Is In- Or April Fools? April 1st Stock Market Preview
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Bottom Is In- Or April Fools? April 1st Stock Market Preview

April 1 Stock Market Preview: We got the anticipated bounce Tuesday, putting the “Turnaround” in “Turnaround Tuesday.” But is today’s rally a sign of a lasting bottom, or did we get the shorts out of the way for a faster move down to new lows? Let’s see who ends up looking like the fool on April Fools..Read on for further discussion.

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Relief Rally Vs Bottom? March 31 Stock Market Preview
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Relief Rally Vs Bottom? March 31 Stock Market Preview

March 31 Stock Market Preview: The last day of the 1st quarter of 2026 is just ahead, and we see the selloff seemingly without end. Despite continued weak price action, GEX improved across the board for major indices today, so what do we make of this divergence? Let’s take a look at the full picture.

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Looking For An SPX Bounce: March 30 Stock Market Preview
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Looking For An SPX Bounce: March 30 Stock Market Preview

March 30 Stock Market Preview: Indices achieved new price lows last week for 2026, reaching areas not seen since last Summer, though IWM continues to diverge positively. The VIX is displaying a pattern that continues to raise concerns, though we may be near an immediate market bounce that deserves further discussion.

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SPX On The Brink: March 27 Stock Market Preview
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SPX On The Brink: March 27 Stock Market Preview

March 27 Stock Market Preview: The VIX is still refusing to drop, giving the appearance that another big spike might be just around the corner. Can indices bounce before we see that happen? Will it even happen? We hit some levels noted early in the week, so let’s take a closer look as we head into Friday.

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Bullish IWM, Bullish VIX? March 26 Stock Market Preview
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Bullish IWM, Bullish VIX? March 26 Stock Market Preview

March 25 Stock Market Preview: Indices continue failing at rally attempts, yet we don’t see lower lows, yet. The VIX closed higher today, and we also see GEX growing at lower strikes. Do we see any clues that might tip the odds in favor of upside or downside in the immediate future?

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QQQ: Destined For 575? March 24 Stock Market Preview
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QQQ: Destined For 575? March 24 Stock Market Preview

March 25 Stock Market Preview: Indices continue failing at rally attempts, yet we don’t see lower lows, yet. The VIX closed higher today, and we also see GEX growing at lower strikes. Do we see any clues that might tip the odds in favor of upside or downside in the immediate future?

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The VIX: Not Dead Yet? March 24 Stock Market Preview
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The VIX: Not Dead Yet? March 24 Stock Market Preview

March 24 Stock Market Preview: Indices saw an active post-OpEx Monday today, impressively gapping up while the VIX was totally crushed. The cash session saw a more challenging effort to maintain progress, with the VIX rallying to retake key support levels on the daily chart while stock indices left long candle wicks overhead, closing below key resistance. Can we get a sustained bounce here?

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Q1 OpEx Friday: March 20 Stock Market Preview
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Q1 OpEx Friday: March 20 Stock Market Preview

March 20 Stock Market Preview: Indices made new 2026 lows today, with SPX reaching 6557 before rebounding to test resistance just shy of the daily HMA at 6644. The VIX failed to close above the daily HMA at 26.06, despite breaching it intraday, so we are left with a divergence. With seemingly contradictory signals and GEX moving more negative for QQQ, what are some possibilities looking ahead?

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New Lows For SPX: March 19 Stock Market Preview
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New Lows For SPX: March 19 Stock Market Preview

March 19 Stock Market Preview: Markets reinforced the downtrend today, with SPX heading to new recent lows while QQQ and IWM made higher lows (so far). The VIX is well off of highs from last week, but holding key support that may imply high VIX levels ahead. Let’s take a look at where GEX indicates dealers could become buyers as well as possible areas of confirmation for the VIX.

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VIX Expiration & FOMC: March 18 Stock Market Preview
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VIX Expiration & FOMC: March 18 Stock Market Preview

March 18 Stock Market Preview: The VIX is approaching the last chance for bears to make a stand, yet indices failed to overcome overhead resistance. With indices at least maintaining gap up gains and the VIX being crushed into FOMC, are we headed for a bullish shift, or more of the same: The market dropping following FOMC? We may need to wait until Thursday, but let’s look at the picture as we enter Wednesday.

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VIX Testing Weekly Support: March 17 Stock Market Preview
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VIX Testing Weekly Support: March 17 Stock Market Preview

March 17 Stock Market Preview: Indices saw an initially bullish move out of the gate, gapping up and running right into key daily resistance levels. The VIX was pushed to the edge of the proverbial grave before rebounding. By the end of the day, the VIX was still held down right at key weekly support, though indices showed negative divergence with a failure to retake intraday highs. What else are we looking at as we approach VIX expiration, FOMC, and OpEx this Friday?

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SPX 6000 Enters The Scene? March 16 Stock Market Preview
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SPX 6000 Enters The Scene? March 16 Stock Market Preview

March 16 Stock Market Preview: Indices closed the week looking particularly weak in terms of price action, the inability to regain key moving averages (which are in downtrends), and a negative move in net GEX. The VIX is still in a positive GEX environment for volatility, with a close above key resistance. On the contrarian side, IWM shows an extreme negative GEX reading, and indices are edging closer to potential bounce levels. Will we see a quick washout before a bounce, or does the painfully slow downward march continue?

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SPX Holding Below Resistance: March 13 Stock Market Preview
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SPX Holding Below Resistance: March 13 Stock Market Preview

March 13 Stock Market Preview: The VIX continues to hold key support for the current trend higher, and indices are slowly making their way toward lower targets. While a snapback rally could happen at any time, tonight we take a closer look to see if we can improve our probabilities by considering the GEX picture for SPX and more.

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SPX Holding Below Resistance: March 12 Stock Market Preview
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SPX Holding Below Resistance: March 12 Stock Market Preview

March 12 Stock Market Preview: Major indices have so far been unable to regain overhead resistance to turn those moving averages into support, yet bears also have failed to drive a deeper breakdown. Meanwhile, the VIX hasn’t changed much, hovering around the 25 area. Let’s look at whether or not volume and GEX can give us further clues pertaining to the next likely move.

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Decision Time For The VIX: March 11 Stock Market Preview
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Decision Time For The VIX: March 11 Stock Market Preview

March 11 Stock Market Preview: Indices rallied again Tuesday, testing key overhead resistance, failing to close above these levels (so far). While the VIX closed below Monday’s close, the VIX tested and held key support, while VVIX (which measures the future expected volatility of the VIX) was actually positive. This divergence can increase the odds of another VIX spike, if we see several instances over the period of 1-2 weeks. For now, we focus on levels the VIX is holding and shifts in GEX for major indices.

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